Preseason Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#135
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.4#242
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#187
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#116
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.2% 20.8% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.4
.500 or above 63.9% 75.8% 51.5%
.500 or above in Conference 77.3% 83.6% 70.6%
Conference Champion 19.8% 25.1% 14.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.1% 3.1%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round16.0% 20.5% 11.3%
Second Round2.7% 3.8% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 51.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 410 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 100   Tulsa W 70-69 51%    
  Nov 12, 2019 95   @ Nevada L 69-75 30%    
  Nov 17, 2019 16   @ Oregon L 57-72 9%    
  Nov 19, 2019 8   @ Gonzaga L 65-83 5%    
  Nov 27, 2019 102   Furman L 66-69 41%    
  Nov 28, 2019 317   @ Elon W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 02, 2019 152   North Texas W 67-63 64%    
  Dec 07, 2019 160   UC Santa Barbara W 69-64 65%    
  Dec 11, 2019 32   @ Houston L 60-73 12%    
  Dec 19, 2019 162   @ Georgia St. L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 21, 2019 122   @ Georgia Southern L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 02, 2020 271   @ Arkansas St. W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 04, 2020 220   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 06, 2020 138   South Alabama W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 09, 2020 212   Appalachian St. W 79-71 74%    
  Jan 11, 2020 172   Coastal Carolina W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 16, 2020 202   @ Louisiana W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 223   @ Louisiana Monroe W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 156   @ Texas St. L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 30, 2020 202   Louisiana W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 01, 2020 223   Louisiana Monroe W 74-66 74%    
  Feb 06, 2020 212   @ Appalachian St. W 76-74 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 172   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 13, 2020 271   Arkansas St. W 76-65 82%    
  Feb 15, 2020 220   Arkansas Little Rock W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 20, 2020 162   Georgia St. W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 22, 2020 122   Georgia Southern W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 156   Texas St. W 67-63 64%    
  Mar 03, 2020 297   @ Troy W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 4.7 4.8 3.4 1.7 0.5 19.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.6 4.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.7 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.6 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.9 5.8 6.8 8.3 9.6 10.5 10.6 10.2 9.1 7.7 5.5 3.5 1.7 0.5 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
19-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
18-2 96.7% 3.4    3.1 0.3 0.0
17-3 86.3% 4.8    3.7 1.0 0.0
16-4 61.4% 4.7    2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 35.8% 3.3    1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-6 12.4% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.8% 19.8 13.3 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.5% 81.8% 60.0% 21.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 54.5%
19-1 1.7% 71.4% 63.1% 8.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 22.3%
18-2 3.5% 53.6% 49.7% 3.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 7.8%
17-3 5.5% 44.7% 42.6% 2.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 3.7%
16-4 7.7% 35.3% 34.9% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0 0.6%
15-5 9.1% 30.0% 29.8% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 0.2%
14-6 10.2% 19.4% 19.4% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 8.2 0.1%
13-7 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 9.4
12-8 10.5% 8.1% 8.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.7
11-9 9.6% 4.6% 4.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.2
10-10 8.3% 2.0% 2.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.1
9-11 6.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
8-12 5.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8
7-13 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 2.6
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.2% 15.6% 0.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 3.5 4.9 3.8 1.7 0.3 83.8 0.7%